FRIDAY 13TH SEPTEMBER 2024

GEELONG R1 #6 EXUBERANCE

X3 STAKE WIN $3.70
X2.75 STAKE WIN TOTE

#4 CHEWING GUM

X0.75 STAKE WIN $11

Thought NZ trials were okay, wasn’t asked much in recent one and was decent after the line, just didn’t read too much into them because from want I could see there wasn’t much ability in the opp but I didn’t go through all the opp. Thought the Jump-out here was good, same set up as Nz, teaching to take a sit then get home, jock hands looked pretty quiet, gave me the gut feel there would be a turn of foot if jock got serious, made good ground after the line, Madame Maserati was there in front and recently won over 1000m so obviously has some speed, the concern would be not sure if beat anything there though, did beat Mini Angel who was in the trial with Siesta, Siesta has looked alright but not sure what beat home in that trial and Mini if using as a guide was beat comfortably by Madame Maserati. Don’t have much data on trainer with my stuff, did tip the other week but didn’t put in as a loss on percentage spreadsheet I keep for betting because I think if given a better ride by Shinn would have arguably won so couldn’t knock training effort (still went in as a loss on results spreadsheets). Shinn has to be due to ride me a winner, think has lost the past 6/7 rides which is strange for such a good jock, noticed very quiet on a few lately I’ve tipped but this horse might be okay because hopefully has a better turn of foot than the opp. CHEWING GUM wouldn’t shock so saving, could keep kicking. CHERRABAH could be anything, haven’t seen enough lately to tip or back but that probably means goes well and stable have hidden a bit, goes in all exotics. Baby Hazel goes in exotics, debut was okay

GEELONG R2 #1 ARMAUER

X2 STAKE WIN $10
X1.75 STAKE WIN TOTE 

#7 UNDER MY THUMB

X1.5 STAKE WIN $3.70

Recent Armauer j/o thought was decent enough, Jack of It won and I thought was in an okay race after that j/o. Elena Montero was there, has subs won, wasn’t asked for much, if anything but does have natural speed so thought was a little guide. Thought Armauer looked to be handling the speed of the j/o okay and was sticking on at the line suggesting could be strong enough late, problem is they didn’t film after the line again so guessing and have to stake low because of that with guessing. UNDER MY THUMB mental health saver because was a stake bet on debut. All mentioned go in exotics. GARNACHO visually looked decent at j/o’s especially the first one, just don’t know if against anything decent, can win. HOT TOO GO thought had ability but burnt me first prep, goes in exotics in case decides to rock up. TAKEN and TRANSACTIONS both wouldn’t shock, Transactions looked to have the edge when they met but just couldn’t be confident enough with both, Transactions didn’t do much to my eye in the j/o beforehand and Showboat was there in the trial when they met and I didn’t think was great at the races after that trial. Arm big enough odds to have a little guess with

GEELONG R3 #8 KOKAKO

X5 STAKE WIN $5

Latest trial I thought was promising, Struck Gold there who subs won a bm78. Etincelle there who has won a race and is $3 to win a race today. Had something on Smart Shazza on debut and was just okay, Grinzinger Sun can win but had a few chances